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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.83+2.65vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.48vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia3.54+1.32vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+0.02vs Predicted
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5Washington College3.07+0.60vs Predicted
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6William and Mary2.13+2.19vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.33-2.18vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.85+0.91vs Predicted
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9American University2.24-1.24vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.84-0.99vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.57-1.33vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.61-2.22vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland0.26-1.28vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.55-2.98vs Predicted
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16St. John's College-0.84-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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5.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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4.32University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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4.02Old Dominion University3.670.2%1st Place
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5.6Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.19William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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4.82Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.91Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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7.76American University2.240.0%1st Place
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9.01Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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9.67George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.78Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Maryland0.260.0%1st Place
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12.02Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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14.04St. John's College-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 21.2% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 16.9% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Clark | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Eichler | 12.1% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Billy Hluchan | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Hussain Patel | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 0.5% |
| John Bankert | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 32.6% | 20.7% |
| Edward Doran | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 23.3% | 24.1% | 11.4% |
| Luke Wakeen | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 17.9% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.