Race 5A

florida

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Patrick Igoe 28.7% 22.8% 17.1% 12.0% 8.8% 5.8% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 12.6% 13.1% 13.7% 13.5% 12.9% 10.8% 9.4% 7.0% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Josh Becher 11.7% 11.6% 12.8% 12.2% 12.3% 11.4% 10.4% 8.5% 5.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Carter Morin 9.6% 10.2% 11.1% 12.1% 11.7% 11.2% 11.6% 9.4% 7.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Fiona Froelich 13.0% 13.6% 14.2% 12.6% 12.8% 10.5% 8.9% 7.1% 4.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Julian Larsen 3.4% 5.1% 5.6% 6.2% 7.2% 9.2% 10.8% 12.4% 14.1% 13.6% 9.4% 3.0%
Garrett Floerchinger 5.1% 4.2% 5.1% 5.8% 7.5% 8.7% 10.2% 12.7% 14.4% 14.2% 9.8% 2.4%
Dawson Kohl 8.3% 9.4% 9.9% 12.1% 11.2% 12.7% 11.6% 10.2% 8.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Zi Burns 3.1% 4.3% 4.7% 5.3% 6.2% 7.6% 10.2% 11.9% 15.6% 16.2% 11.6% 3.4%
Marco Distel 3.0% 3.8% 3.9% 5.1% 4.8% 6.7% 7.6% 10.0% 13.2% 17.7% 18.9% 5.5%
Josh Rosen 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 3.3% 4.2% 5.0% 6.6% 8.3% 15.5% 31.8% 18.7%
Olivia Figley 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.8% 4.0% 7.2% 13.2% 66.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.