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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+2.77vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+4.27vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.87+4.48vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.45+5.17vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.10+3.97vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.57+0.46vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.79-1.33vs Predicted
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10Fordham University-0.08+0.94vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.64-2.74vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-4.84vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.16-3.02vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-2.23vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-0.05-4.11vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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6.27George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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7.48Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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9.17Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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5.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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5.35University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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7.67Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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10.94Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.26Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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7.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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11.77Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.89North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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11.94Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 22.1% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Natalie Fear | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Deana Fedulova | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kailey Warrior | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 13.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Lina Carper | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% |
| Alma Bewsher | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 21.0% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.