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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.87+6.35vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.79+5.73vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+0.86vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+2.39vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.64+3.35vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.08+4.93vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+0.31vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.45+0.88vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.57-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.56-4.75vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-5.12vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.05-1.21vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.16-3.00vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin-0.10-3.13vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-3.03vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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7.73Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.86Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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6.39George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.35Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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10.93Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.31St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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8.88Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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5.25University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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5.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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10.79North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.97Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.93Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Fear | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 20.6% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Shay Bridge | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.4% |
| Lina Carper | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Eva DeCastro | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Kailey Warrior | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 11.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 13.5% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% |
| Alma Bewsher | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 21.4% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.