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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+6.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.19+4.58vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.64+5.62vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.30vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.87+2.79vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06-1.92vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.79+1.15vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.56-2.71vs Predicted
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9Fordham University-0.08+2.05vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.22-3.44vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.38+0.95vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57-3.19vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.05-2.00vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.45-4.87vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin-0.10-3.72vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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8.62Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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6.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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7.79Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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4.08Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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8.15Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.29University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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11.05Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.56George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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11.95Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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11.0North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.13Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.15Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lina Carper | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Ava Farley | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Fear | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 19.9% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Kailey Warrior | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 13.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sage Andrews | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 23.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.9% |
| Eva DeCastro | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 12.8% |
| Alma Bewsher | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.