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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+5.42vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+4.11vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.56+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.57+4.98vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06-0.94vs Predicted
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6Boston University-0.38+6.04vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.87+0.79vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-0.75vs Predicted
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9Fordham University-0.08+2.00vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.45-0.69vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.79-3.00vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.19-5.31vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.64-4.47vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.05-3.10vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-2.78vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.10-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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6.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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5.43University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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4.06Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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12.04Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.79Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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7.25St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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11.0Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.31Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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8.0Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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8.53Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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10.9North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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12.22Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Deana Fedulova | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kailey Warrior | 13.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 18.6% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 23.6% |
| Natalie Fear | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Lina Carper | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Ava Farley | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Shay Bridge | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% |
| Alma Bewsher | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 24.4% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.