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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.19+5.55vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.87+5.70vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.56+2.43vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.24vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06-0.99vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.79+2.14vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.64+1.66vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.45+1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.57-0.28vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.38+2.15vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-3.61vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.88vs Predicted
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13Fordham University-0.08-1.95vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-1.99vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-0.05-3.87vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.22-9.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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7.7Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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5.43University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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6.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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4.01Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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8.14Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.66Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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9.12Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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12.15Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.05Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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12.01Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.13North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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6.58George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Natalie Fear | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Kailey Warrior | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 19.8% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 21.8% |
| Lina Carper | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% |
| Alma Bewsher | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 22.8% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.