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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.56+4.29vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+4.09vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.64+5.59vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.87+3.94vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06-0.94vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.79+2.12vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+0.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.19-1.44vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.22-2.53vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.38+2.08vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-0.10+0.10vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.40+0.03vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.45-3.79vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-5.31vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.08-3.81vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University-0.05-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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6.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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8.59Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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7.94Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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4.06Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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8.12Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.51St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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6.47George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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12.08Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.03Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.21Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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11.19Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.08North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailey Warrior | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Shay Bridge | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Natalie Fear | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 19.3% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Lina Carper | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Ava Farley | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 9.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 21.7% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 13.2% |
| Alma Bewsher | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 25.6% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 12.4% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.