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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.23+7.98vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+5.26vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.64+4.72vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.15+2.09vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.01+1.45vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.10+3.73vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.50-2.00vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.63-0.34vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.28-0.01vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+0.42vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.37+0.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.70-4.41vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.84-6.08vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-8.23vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.61-2.94vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-1.53-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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7.72Connecticut College0.640.1%1st Place
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6.09University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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6.45Rollins College1.010.1%1st Place
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9.73Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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5.0Roger Williams University1.500.2%1st Place
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7.66Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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8.99North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.42Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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6.92Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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5.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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12.06Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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14.24University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Clary | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Julia Scipione | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Grace Jones | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Annie Samis | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 5.6% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 10.2% |
| Josephine Sherry | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Fiona Froelich | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sabrina Starck | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 22.5% | 15.4% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.