← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy0.70+6.35vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.15+3.91vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.50+1.84vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College1.01+2.57vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University0.84+2.04vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University0.23+3.21vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-1.01vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+2.24vs Predicted
-
9North Carolina State University0.28-0.05vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont-0.37+1.31vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University0.63-3.24vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University0.10-2.38vs Predicted
-
13Boston University-0.61-1.04vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College0.64-6.39vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-7.59vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin-1.53-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.35U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
-
5.91University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.84Roger Williams University1.500.2%1st Place
-
6.57Rollins College1.010.1%1st Place
-
7.04Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
-
9.21George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
-
5.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
-
10.24Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
-
8.95North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
-
11.31University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
-
7.76Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
-
9.62Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
-
11.96Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
-
7.61Connecticut College0.640.1%1st Place
-
7.41St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
-
14.23University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josephine Sherry | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Grace Jones | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 15.4% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annie Samis | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Fiona Froelich | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Sabrina Starck | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 4.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 9.8% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Murray | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 16.6% |
| Julia Scipione | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 15.6% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.