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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.15+4.51vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.70+4.99vs Predicted
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3Rollins College1.01+3.00vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.84+2.73vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.50-0.40vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.64+1.37vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.23+1.67vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-2.58vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.28-0.57vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-3.04vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.10-1.90vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-1.53+1.43vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.61-1.78vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.37-3.52vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-5.13vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-2.69-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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6.0Rollins College1.010.1%1st Place
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6.73Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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4.6Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.37Connecticut College0.640.1%1st Place
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8.67George Washington University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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8.43North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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9.1Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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13.43University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
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11.22Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.87Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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15.22Columbia University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Jones | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josephine Sherry | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Annie Samis | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 14.5% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Clary | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Sabrina Starck | 12.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Murray | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 35.7% | 20.0% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 4.3% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 1.8% |
| Jane Marvin | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 0.9% |
| Stella Manyan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 15.2% | 71.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.