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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College1.01+4.95vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.10+6.93vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+2.51vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+5.90vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.84+1.60vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.15-0.31vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.64+0.36vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.28+0.30vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.70-2.01vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.37+0.67vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.50-6.41vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.23-3.38vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin-1.53+0.47vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.61-2.78vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-8.04vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-2.69-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Rollins College1.010.1%1st Place
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8.93Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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5.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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9.9Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.6Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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5.69University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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7.36Connecticut College0.640.1%1st Place
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8.3North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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4.59Roger Williams University1.500.2%1st Place
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8.62George Washington University0.230.1%1st Place
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13.47University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
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11.22Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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15.25Columbia University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Samis | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Murray | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Sabrina Starck | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Josephine Sherry | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 2.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 17.6% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 39.7% | 18.2% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 3.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Stella Manyan | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 13.4% | 72.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.