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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.38+8.16vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.90+9.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.78+4.47vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+5.49vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.50+3.37vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.10+4.14vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.33+2.14vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+1.16vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.45-0.46vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-2.63vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.86+0.29vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.39-2.75vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-3.83vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.90-3.29vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.65-7.31vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-5.10vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.34-3.58vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-9.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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7.47College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.49Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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10.14Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.14Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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8.54Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.17University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.71Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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10.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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8.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Powers | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Bethany Leonard | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Shannon Heausler | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| Genoa Warner | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| Megan Magill | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Margaret Tautz | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 27.1% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.