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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+1.85vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.44+3.17vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.70+1.47vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.41+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.68-0.10vs Predicted
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6Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.31+0.34vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.45-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.46-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.84-1.94vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-2.55+0.03vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.51-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Jacksonville University1.7031.1%1st Place
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5.17Eckerd College0.448.6%1st Place
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4.47Jacksonville University0.7013.5%1st Place
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4.56Rollins College0.4112.6%1st Place
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4.9University of Miami0.6810.1%1st Place
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5.38Palm Beach Atlantic University0.368.1%1st Place
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7.34University of South Florida-0.313.1%1st Place
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7.4Rollins College-0.454.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Central Florida-0.463.6%1st Place
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8.06University of Florida-1.842.9%1st Place
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11.03Florida State University-2.550.5%1st Place
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9.48Embry-Riddle University-1.511.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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Patrick Igoe | 31.1% | 20.9% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Carter Morin | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Fiona Froelich | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Hilton Kamps | 12.6% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Josh Becher | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Dawson Kohl | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Garrett Floerchinger | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 2.4% |
Zi Burns | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 3.0% |
Julian Larsen | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 2.8% |
Marco Distel | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 5.2% |
Olivia Figley | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 14.7% | 66.4% |
Josh Rosen | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 16.9% | 30.1% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.