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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.55vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.33+2.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.83+0.66vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.54-0.54vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.07-0.46vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.57+2.59vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.85+0.94vs Predicted
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9William and Mary2.13-0.85vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.84-0.99vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.61-1.42vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.55+0.21vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland0.26-1.28vs Predicted
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15American University2.24-7.21vs Predicted
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16St. John's College-0.84-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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4.72Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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3.66U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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4.07Old Dominion University3.670.2%1st Place
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4.46University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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5.54Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.59George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.94Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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8.15William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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9.01Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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9.58Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.21Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Maryland0.260.0%1st Place
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7.79American University2.240.0%1st Place
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14.03St. John's College-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wallace | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 10.9% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 20.2% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 16.8% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.0% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hussain Patel | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| John O'Riordan | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Isaac Clark | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Edward Doran | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 22.7% | 28.1% | 10.4% |
| John Bankert | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 18.5% | 30.9% | 21.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Luke Wakeen | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 18.2% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.