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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.15+4.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.70+5.38vs Predicted
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3Rollins College1.01+3.33vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.28+5.20vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.10+4.66vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.64+1.75vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-1.04vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-0.40vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.84-2.11vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.63-2.22vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.50-6.18vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.72vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.23-3.89vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin-1.53+0.08vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.37-3.67vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.61-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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6.33Rollins College1.010.1%1st Place
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9.2North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.66Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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7.75Connecticut College0.640.1%1st Place
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5.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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6.89Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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7.78Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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4.82Roger Williams University1.500.2%1st Place
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10.28Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.11George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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14.08University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.0Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Jones | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Josephine Sherry | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Annie Samis | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Lauren Murray | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Julia Scipione | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Sabrina Starck | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maisy Sperry | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Fiona Froelich | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 17.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 7.6% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 51.4% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 10.3% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 19.0% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.