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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.50+3.74vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.63+5.63vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.28+5.99vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+3.94vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+0.85vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.15-0.02vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.01-0.52vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.84-1.19vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.37+2.19vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+0.42vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.64-3.32vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.61-0.14vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.70-5.58vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin-1.53+0.06vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.10-5.29vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.23-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Roger Williams University1.500.2%1st Place
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7.63Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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8.99North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.94St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
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5.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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5.98University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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6.48Rollins College1.010.1%1st Place
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6.81Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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10.42Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.68Connecticut College0.640.1%1st Place
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11.86Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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14.06University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
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9.71Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.24George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavia Smith | 17.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Maisy Sperry | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Sabrina Starck | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Jones | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Annie Samis | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 10.8% |
| Jane Marvin | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 6.6% |
| Julia Scipione | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 20.6% | 16.7% |
| Josephine Sherry | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 17.4% | 51.8% |
| Lauren Murray | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.