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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.50+3.71vs Predicted
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2Rollins College1.01+4.34vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.23+6.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.70+3.62vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+0.86vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.63+1.76vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.64+0.80vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.37+3.11vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.15-3.14vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.28-0.98vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.84-4.07vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-4.23vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.10-3.43vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.61-2.18vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-4.52vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-1.53-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Roger Williams University1.500.2%1st Place
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6.34Rollins College1.010.1%1st Place
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9.12George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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5.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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7.76Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College0.640.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.86University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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9.02North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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6.93Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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9.57Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.82Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.48Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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14.23University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavia Smith | 15.9% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Annie Samis | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Clary | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Josephine Sherry | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Sabrina Starck | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Julia Scipione | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 10.4% |
| Grace Jones | 11.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Fiona Froelich | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Maisy Sperry | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Murray | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 15.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.