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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.70+6.32vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.50+2.80vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+2.83vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.01+2.51vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.28+4.08vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+1.86vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.15-0.99vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.84-1.15vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.64-1.34vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.63-2.25vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.10-1.42vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.61-0.12vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.23-3.93vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.37-2.89vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-4.56vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-1.53-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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4.8Roger Williams University1.500.2%1st Place
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5.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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6.51Rollins College1.010.1%1st Place
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9.08North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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6.01University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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6.85Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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7.66Connecticut College0.640.1%1st Place
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7.75Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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9.58Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.88Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.07George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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10.44Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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14.25University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josephine Sherry | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Tavia Smith | 15.8% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sabrina Starck | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annie Samis | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Maisy Sperry | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Grace Jones | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Julia Scipione | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Murray | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 17.4% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 9.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 5.6% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 16.0% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.