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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.70+6.35vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+5.67vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+1.85vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.10+5.78vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+0.88vs Predicted
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6Rollins College1.01+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.15-0.94vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.64-0.43vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.63-1.37vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.23-0.76vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.28-2.08vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.37-0.83vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-2.69vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.84-7.15vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.61-2.97vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-1.53-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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4.85Roger Williams University1.500.2%1st Place
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9.78Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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5.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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6.48Rollins College1.010.1%1st Place
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6.06University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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7.57Connecticut College0.640.1%1st Place
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7.63Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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9.24George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.92North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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10.31Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.85Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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12.03Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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14.21University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josephine Sherry | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Maisy Sperry | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 16.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Murray | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
| Sabrina Starck | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Annie Samis | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Jones | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Hayden Clary | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 11.6% |
| Jane Marvin | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 6.1% |
| Fiona Froelich | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 21.9% | 15.4% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.