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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.64+6.56vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+5.66vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.84+3.93vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.50+0.90vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.61+6.95vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.150.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.70+0.57vs Predicted
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8Rollins College1.01-1.68vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-3.20vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.63-2.16vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-0.69vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.37-0.83vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.28-4.01vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.10-4.46vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.23-5.77vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-1.53-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Connecticut College0.640.1%1st Place
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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6.93Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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4.9Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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11.95Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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6.0University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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6.32Rollins College1.010.1%1st Place
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5.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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7.84Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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10.31Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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8.99North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.54Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.23George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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14.23University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Scipione | 5.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Maisy Sperry | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 13.6% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 21.5% | 14.5% |
| Grace Jones | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Josephine Sherry | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Annie Samis | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sabrina Starck | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Jane Marvin | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 5.9% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 12.9% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Lauren Murray | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Hayden Clary | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 15.6% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.