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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.70+6.37vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.64+5.61vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+4.71vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.84+3.17vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+5.36vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.50-1.09vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.63+0.83vs Predicted
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8Rollins College1.01-1.72vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-3.21vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.15-3.99vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.23-1.87vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.37-0.86vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.28-4.08vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.10-4.47vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.61-2.97vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-1.53-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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7.61Connecticut College0.640.1%1st Place
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7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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7.17Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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10.36Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.91Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.83Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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6.28Rollins College1.010.1%1st Place
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5.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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6.01University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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8.92North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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12.03Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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14.22University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josephine Sherry | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Julia Scipione | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Maisy Sperry | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Fiona Froelich | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jane Marvin | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 14.9% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Annie Samis | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sabrina Starck | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 10.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 2.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 11.6% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Lauren Murray | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 21.2% | 15.5% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.