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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.50+3.68vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.64+5.54vs Predicted
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3Rollins College1.01+3.35vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+3.88vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.15+0.87vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.84+1.03vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-1.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.70-0.72vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+1.21vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.63-2.30vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.37+0.06vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.23-2.92vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.28-4.10vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.62-2.24vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.18-4.40vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-1.53-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Roger Williams University1.500.2%1st Place
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7.54Connecticut College0.640.1%1st Place
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6.35Rollins College1.010.1%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
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5.87University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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7.03Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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5.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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10.21Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.7Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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11.06University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.08George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.9North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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11.76Boston University-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.6Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.18University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavia Smith | 17.2% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Annie Samis | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Maisy Sperry | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Grace Jones | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sabrina Starck | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Josephine Sherry | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 5.2% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 9.7% |
| Hayden Clary | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Marguerite Bowen | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 15.2% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 6.9% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 16.1% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.