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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+3.00vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.33+2.70vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.07+2.45vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.83-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.54-0.59vs Predicted
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6William and Mary2.13+2.15vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.85+1.81vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.42vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.61+0.50vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.84-1.00vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland0.26+1.48vs Predicted
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12American University2.24-3.97vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.55-0.94vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.57-4.38vs Predicted
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16St. John's College-1.66-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Old Dominion University3.670.2%1st Place
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4.7Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.45Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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3.67U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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4.41University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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8.15William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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8.81Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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5.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.5Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.0Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Maryland0.260.0%1st Place
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8.03American University2.240.0%1st Place
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12.06Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.62George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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14.54St. John's College-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Rudolph | 17.9% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 11.7% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 21.2% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Clark | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| John Wallace | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| John Bankert | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 20.7% | 35.4% | 11.8% |
| Billy Hluchan | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 24.6% | 30.9% | 6.2% |
| Hussain Patel | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Lawrence Leibowitz | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 10.9% | 80.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.