Race 1B

florida

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grayson Tella 44.0% 26.3% 14.4% 9.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Lansford 7.3% 9.8% 11.7% 13.1% 12.2% 13.7% 12.2% 9.2% 5.9% 3.9% 1.1%
Lily Schwartz 7.8% 10.8% 11.1% 12.8% 14.3% 13.9% 11.7% 8.9% 5.5% 2.9% 0.5%
Zach O'connor 13.9% 17.8% 17.9% 16.2% 14.5% 8.3% 5.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Jackson McGeough 6.6% 8.5% 10.0% 10.1% 12.2% 12.4% 13.1% 12.7% 8.4% 4.2% 2.1%
Julian Drake 3.1% 3.2% 4.7% 5.9% 5.9% 8.2% 10.8% 14.5% 16.0% 15.6% 12.2%
Oliver West 9.6% 10.9% 13.7% 13.8% 13.9% 12.7% 9.8% 7.5% 5.5% 2.3% 0.5%
Tanner Cummings 3.8% 6.6% 7.8% 8.8% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 13.2% 12.4% 8.1% 3.6%
Emma Launsby 1.8% 2.9% 2.9% 3.3% 4.6% 5.9% 8.6% 10.5% 16.2% 21.6% 21.8%
Nikolas Pantelis 1.1% 1.7% 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 7.2% 7.8% 11.7% 14.4% 21.1% 21.9%
Allen Gonzalez Barnes 1.1% 1.6% 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 4.3% 6.0% 8.0% 14.0% 20.0% 36.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.