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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+3.38vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.83+0.69vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+0.10vs Predicted
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5William and Mary2.13+3.37vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.07-0.37vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.55+5.37vs Predicted
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8American University2.24+0.11vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.57+0.97vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.85-0.74vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.61-1.11vs Predicted
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12Hampton University1.84-2.54vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.26+0.20vs Predicted
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15St. John's College1.16-3.93vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.33-11.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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5.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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4.1Old Dominion University3.670.2%1st Place
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8.37William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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5.63Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.37Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.11American University2.240.0%1st Place
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9.97George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.26Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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9.89Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.46Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Maryland0.260.0%1st Place
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11.07St. John's College1.160.0%1st Place
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4.94Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 21.3% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 17.8% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Clark | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 25.7% | 26.1% |
| Billy Hluchan | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Hussain Patel | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| John O'Riordan | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| John Bankert | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 17.6% | 47.4% |
| Andrew Dobbins | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 10.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.