Race 2B

florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grayson Tella 44.6% 27.2% 14.2% 8.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 7.8% 12.3% 11.2% 13.9% 12.9% 13.2% 11.0% 9.2% 5.6% 2.6% 0.5%
Oliver West 8.2% 10.9% 13.5% 14.1% 14.8% 12.8% 10.4% 7.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Jackson McGeough 5.5% 8.2% 9.4% 10.8% 13.5% 13.2% 13.4% 12.4% 7.6% 4.5% 1.6%
Ella Lansford 6.5% 8.8% 10.4% 12.3% 11.9% 13.7% 12.8% 11.2% 7.3% 3.9% 1.1%
Tanner Cummings 5.1% 5.5% 7.9% 9.6% 9.1% 10.8% 14.1% 12.0% 12.8% 9.0% 4.0%
Zach O'connor 15.0% 17.2% 17.8% 15.2% 13.2% 9.7% 6.3% 3.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Nikolas Pantelis 1.8% 2.3% 4.0% 3.9% 4.9% 6.7% 7.4% 11.5% 14.7% 20.5% 22.4%
Allen Gonzalez Barnes 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 3.9% 5.0% 5.5% 9.1% 12.8% 20.5% 35.9%
Emma Launsby 2.2% 2.2% 3.5% 3.8% 5.5% 6.5% 8.2% 10.9% 14.9% 19.8% 22.6%
Julian Drake 2.2% 3.9% 5.8% 5.5% 6.7% 7.4% 10.4% 13.0% 16.9% 16.8% 11.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.