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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+3.04vs Predicted
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2Washington College3.07+3.41vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia3.54+1.27vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.83-0.30vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.67vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.33-1.18vs Predicted
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7American University2.24+0.79vs Predicted
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8William and Mary2.13+0.14vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.61+0.52vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.84-0.98vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.85-2.05vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.55+0.22vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.57-3.18vs Predicted
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14St. John's College-0.84+0.12vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland0.26-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Old Dominion University3.670.2%1st Place
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5.41Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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3.7U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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4.82Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.79American University2.240.0%1st Place
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8.14William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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9.52Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.02Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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8.95Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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12.22Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.82George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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14.12St. John's College-0.840.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Maryland0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Rudolph | 16.8% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.3% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 20.6% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Clark | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Miller | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| John O'Riordan | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Edward Doran | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 22.8% | 27.7% | 11.0% |
| Hussain Patel | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Luke Wakeen | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 16.9% | 65.4% |
| John Bankert | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 19.1% | 31.2% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.