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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.55+1.11vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College-0.17+3.04vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.31+2.33vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.09+1.61vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.07-0.13vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.80+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.46-3.29vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-1.34-0.50vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.60-0.75vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-1.69-1.63vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-2.05-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Jacksonville University1.5542.1%1st Place
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5.04Eckerd College-0.178.1%1st Place
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5.33Jacksonville University-0.317.0%1st Place
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5.61Rollins College0.096.4%1st Place
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4.87University of Miami-0.078.8%1st Place
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6.23Embry-Riddle University-0.805.1%1st Place
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3.71University of South Florida0.4614.2%1st Place
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7.5Rollins College-1.342.9%1st Place
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8.25Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.602.4%1st Place
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8.37University of Central Florida-1.691.8%1st Place
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8.99Florida State University-2.051.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grayson Tella | 42.1% | 28.1% | 15.8% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Lily Schwartz | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
Ella Lansford | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
Jackson McGeough | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
Oliver West | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
Tanner Cummings | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
Zach O'connor | 14.2% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Julian Drake | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 11.8% |
Emma Launsby | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 20.8% | 21.6% |
Nikolas Pantelis | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 21.3% | 22.4% |
Allen Gonzalez Barnes | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 19.9% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.