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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.38+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.67+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+3.95vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.08+1.70vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.35-0.06vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.78-2.03vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.02-1.24vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.21+0.87vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08+1.79vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-2.30vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.45-1.66vs Predicted
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12Williams College-1.18-3.04vs Predicted
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13Bates College-2.03-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Vermont1.380.3%1st Place
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4.28University of Vermont0.670.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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4.94University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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3.97Salve Regina University0.780.2%1st Place
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5.76Northeastern University0.020.1%1st Place
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8.87University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.34Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
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8.96Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
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10.84Bates College-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 29.5% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 13.9% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Begin | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Sam Harris | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Schneider | 16.0% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hal Johnson | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Peterson | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 6.4% |
| Maisey Jobson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 22.7% | 34.6% |
| Kevin McNeill | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Helen Coughlin | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.2% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 8.9% |
| Georgia Green | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 21.5% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.