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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+3.30vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.85+6.80vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.07+2.45vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.83-0.29vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.33-0.05vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.67-1.99vs Predicted
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7Hampton University1.84+1.85vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.41vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.57+0.70vs Predicted
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10American University2.24-2.08vs Predicted
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11William and Mary2.13-2.75vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.55+0.22vs Predicted
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13St. John's College-0.84+1.19vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.61-4.45vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland0.26-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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8.8Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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5.45Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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3.71U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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4.95Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.01Old Dominion University3.670.2%1st Place
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8.85Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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5.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.7George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.92American University2.240.0%1st Place
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8.25William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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12.22Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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14.19St. John's College-0.840.0%1st Place
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9.55Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Maryland0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.8% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 20.1% | 19.6% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 16.1% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| John Wallace | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hussain Patel | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Billy Hluchan | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Clark | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Edward Doran | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 21.6% | 28.8% | 10.9% |
| Luke Wakeen | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 15.5% | 67.7% |
| Victoria Miller | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| John Bankert | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 33.7% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.