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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.55+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of Miami-0.07+2.82vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.31+2.22vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.09+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.46-1.18vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-1.35+1.78vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17-1.82vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.80-1.63vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.60-0.64vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-1.69-1.54vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-1.66-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Jacksonville University1.5543.8%1st Place
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4.82University of Miami-0.079.3%1st Place
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5.22Jacksonville University-0.317.4%1st Place
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5.58Rollins College0.096.9%1st Place
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3.82University of South Florida0.4613.6%1st Place
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7.78Rollins College-1.352.1%1st Place
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5.18Eckerd College-0.177.0%1st Place
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6.37Embry-Riddle University-0.804.8%1st Place
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8.36Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.601.8%1st Place
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8.46University of Central Florida-1.691.4%1st Place
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8.32Florida State University-1.661.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Tella | 43.8% | 26.5% | 16.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver West | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Ella Lansford | 7.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Jackson McGeough | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Zach O'connor | 13.6% | 18.8% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Harriss Thorne | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 15.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Tanner Cummings | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Emma Launsby | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 25.2% |
| Nikolas Pantelis | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 26.0% |
| Ross Ellis | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.