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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+5.86vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.67+2.29vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.02+2.86vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35+0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.38-2.19vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.78-2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.08-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.21+0.86vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-1.26vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.45-0.55vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08-0.24vs Predicted
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12Bates College-2.03-1.20vs Predicted
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13Williams College-1.18-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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4.29University of Vermont0.670.1%1st Place
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5.86Northeastern University0.020.1%1st Place
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4.99University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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2.81University of Vermont1.380.3%1st Place
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3.97Salve Regina University0.780.2%1st Place
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5.58University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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8.86University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.45Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
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10.8Bates College-2.030.0%1st Place
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9.02Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Rodes | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Marco Welch | 14.5% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hal Johnson | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sam Harris | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 30.1% | 23.2% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Schneider | 15.6% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Begin | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ian Peterson | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 7.8% |
| Kevin McNeill | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Helen Coughlin | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 13.3% |
| Maisey Jobson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 31.5% |
| Georgia Green | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 34.6% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.