Race 1B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlie Walton 12.3% 12.1% 13.1% 12.6% 12.5% 11.0% 10.2% 7.2% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Sean Lund 16.3% 15.8% 15.8% 14.2% 10.8% 9.5% 6.8% 6.3% 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
James Beaulieu 25.3% 20.2% 15.7% 15.8% 9.3% 6.5% 4.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Shearley 3.1% 4.1% 4.1% 5.8% 7.6% 7.8% 9.8% 9.8% 12.1% 11.1% 10.2% 9.8% 4.7%
Sean Morrison 15.4% 16.5% 13.5% 12.7% 12.4% 10.5% 8.0% 5.4% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Charlotte Green 3.8% 4.0% 5.5% 5.9% 7.0% 7.4% 9.7% 9.5% 12.2% 12.5% 10.3% 7.3% 4.9%
James Meyer 9.0% 9.1% 10.7% 8.7% 10.9% 12.0% 10.7% 9.4% 8.2% 5.7% 3.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Charlie Carner 6.1% 6.2% 7.3% 8.2% 8.4% 11.3% 9.9% 12.8% 10.7% 8.2% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
Brooklyn Geary 1.1% 2.3% 2.6% 2.1% 3.5% 3.4% 4.0% 5.1% 6.4% 10.7% 13.1% 18.6% 27.1%
Colin Kenny 2.5% 3.3% 3.8% 4.0% 4.7% 5.2% 7.3% 8.6% 10.1% 12.3% 14.7% 12.3% 11.2%
Jingyi Chen 1.9% 2.4% 2.6% 4.6% 5.2% 5.0% 6.3% 9.3% 12.8% 11.8% 13.1% 14.9% 10.1%
Grete Kairyte 1.0% 1.2% 1.9% 2.4% 2.6% 4.0% 4.6% 5.7% 6.8% 8.8% 12.7% 18.3% 30.0%
Jack Tresh 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 3.0% 5.1% 6.4% 8.5% 9.2% 10.4% 12.6% 13.6% 12.6% 10.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.