Race 2B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlie Walton 12.1% 11.9% 13.6% 13.3% 11.8% 10.3% 9.9% 7.9% 4.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Colin Shearley 3.7% 4.1% 4.6% 6.1% 6.7% 7.3% 9.3% 10.6% 10.3% 13.0% 10.9% 8.8% 4.6%
Sean Lund 16.0% 15.3% 16.0% 14.1% 11.8% 9.9% 7.4% 4.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
James Beaulieu 23.2% 22.4% 17.3% 12.9% 10.6% 6.2% 3.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Jingyi Chen 2.8% 3.2% 2.6% 3.8% 4.5% 5.8% 6.7% 8.8% 10.1% 10.4% 13.5% 15.1% 12.7%
Sean Morrison 15.6% 16.3% 14.8% 14.3% 11.7% 8.6% 7.0% 5.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
James Meyer 9.6% 8.5% 9.5% 9.7% 11.2% 12.6% 10.1% 7.7% 8.9% 6.1% 4.3% 1.6% 0.2%
Charlotte Green 3.3% 4.9% 4.8% 6.3% 5.9% 7.5% 10.0% 11.9% 11.2% 10.2% 10.8% 8.5% 4.7%
Charlie Carner 6.1% 5.9% 6.7% 7.4% 8.7% 10.2% 11.2% 12.8% 9.6% 9.7% 5.7% 4.4% 1.6%
Grete Kairyte 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 3.4% 4.5% 5.7% 7.4% 9.4% 12.6% 17.5% 29.2%
Brooklyn Geary 1.6% 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 3.6% 5.0% 5.0% 6.4% 8.5% 11.2% 12.4% 16.8% 24.6%
Colin Kenny 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 3.7% 4.9% 6.2% 7.3% 8.1% 9.9% 12.3% 13.7% 13.9% 12.0%
Jack Tresh 2.5% 2.2% 3.1% 3.7% 5.9% 7.0% 7.8% 8.6% 11.9% 11.8% 13.0% 12.4% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.