Race 3B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Colin Shearley 4.1% 3.2% 4.0% 5.8% 7.6% 9.6% 8.9% 9.4% 10.2% 11.5% 12.6% 8.5% 4.6%
James Beaulieu 24.8% 21.0% 17.5% 12.1% 10.6% 6.5% 4.1% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sean Morrison 13.9% 17.3% 12.0% 15.2% 12.5% 11.0% 6.9% 5.4% 3.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Sean Lund 15.6% 17.5% 14.5% 13.4% 11.8% 10.1% 8.3% 4.6% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2%
Jingyi Chen 3.1% 2.0% 3.9% 2.9% 5.5% 4.8% 6.9% 8.3% 9.3% 12.8% 13.4% 15.8% 11.3%
Colin Kenny 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 5.8% 8.0% 9.9% 10.7% 12.6% 14.1% 11.8% 10.0%
James Meyer 10.0% 8.3% 9.4% 10.6% 10.7% 11.3% 10.8% 9.9% 9.4% 4.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
Charlie Carner 5.4% 6.6% 7.3% 6.8% 9.7% 9.7% 11.5% 11.5% 11.9% 8.8% 5.8% 3.4% 1.6%
Jack Tresh 2.6% 3.4% 3.6% 5.3% 4.2% 4.8% 8.3% 9.0% 9.7% 14.0% 13.5% 11.1% 10.5%
Charlie Walton 13.0% 11.3% 14.0% 12.2% 12.0% 10.7% 8.4% 7.6% 4.9% 3.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Charlotte Green 3.2% 4.1% 6.0% 7.3% 6.3% 9.1% 9.7% 10.4% 11.3% 12.0% 9.5% 6.8% 4.3%
Brooklyn Geary 1.2% 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 2.6% 3.7% 4.2% 6.8% 7.8% 7.8% 12.0% 21.3% 27.2%
Grete Kairyte 1.0% 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 6.0% 7.5% 9.5% 12.6% 19.4% 29.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.