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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-1.91+7.61vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont-1.60+5.81vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.20+1.16vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.99+4.84vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.44-0.31vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.19+0.60vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.28-3.84vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.83-3.21vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.13-5.99vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.11-2.02vs Predicted
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12Williams College-2.58-1.63vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
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4.16Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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8.84Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Vermont-0.440.1%1st Place
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6.6Middlebury College-1.190.1%1st Place
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3.16Northeastern University0.280.3%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Vermont-0.830.1%1st Place
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4.01University of New Hampshire-0.130.2%1st Place
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8.98University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.110.0%1st Place
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10.37Williams College-2.580.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Tresh | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 8.2% |
| Charlotte Green | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 14.3% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 10.6% |
| Charlie Walton | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Carner | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| James Beaulieu | 25.2% | 20.5% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Shearley | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| James Meyer | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Sean Lund | 16.5% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jingyi Chen | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.1% |
| Grete Kairyte | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 31.1% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.