Race 5B

chris-loder

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sean Lund 18.8% 15.1% 15.6% 14.7% 12.2% 11.5% 5.9% 2.6% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
James Beaulieu 25.2% 23.8% 16.1% 14.2% 8.8% 6.8% 2.4% 1.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Morrison 14.8% 17.5% 15.5% 13.8% 12.3% 11.8% 6.6% 3.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Walton 12.4% 13.6% 13.2% 14.0% 12.7% 11.5% 10.1% 6.6% 3.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
James Meyer 9.7% 8.1% 12.6% 11.3% 11.6% 12.1% 11.4% 9.5% 7.5% 3.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Charlotte Green 4.6% 3.9% 5.1% 5.8% 8.0% 10.0% 10.4% 13.5% 12.3% 10.6% 9.1% 5.5% 1.2%
Colin Shearley 5.2% 4.1% 5.0% 7.2% 7.2% 8.4% 10.5% 11.7% 12.9% 12.3% 9.3% 5.3% 0.9%
Jingyi Chen 2.2% 3.6% 3.8% 3.0% 5.0% 5.8% 9.4% 10.3% 11.6% 13.7% 14.8% 12.5% 4.3%
Patrick Duffy 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 2.1% 3.1% 5.9% 6.5% 14.8% 59.7%
Brooklyn Geary 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% 2.3% 4.3% 3.5% 5.7% 7.4% 10.9% 12.1% 15.3% 19.3% 13.0%
Jack Tresh 2.3% 3.2% 4.5% 6.0% 7.5% 6.6% 9.1% 13.8% 13.1% 11.2% 11.7% 8.3% 2.7%
Grete Kairyte 0.8% 1.4% 2.3% 2.9% 3.1% 4.2% 5.7% 7.2% 7.1% 13.9% 14.7% 22.4% 14.3%
Colin Kenny 2.1% 2.8% 3.1% 4.2% 5.6% 6.0% 10.8% 10.2% 12.3% 13.1% 15.0% 11.1% 3.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.