Race 6B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
James Beaulieu 27.4% 19.5% 18.2% 13.5% 9.8% 6.5% 2.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Lund 18.0% 16.1% 17.4% 14.3% 12.9% 8.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Sean Morrison 15.0% 17.8% 14.9% 13.1% 13.8% 10.3% 7.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
James Meyer 7.8% 9.4% 10.2% 12.1% 11.6% 12.1% 11.6% 10.4% 8.7% 3.3% 1.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Grete Kairyte 2.2% 1.6% 2.5% 2.2% 4.1% 3.3% 5.5% 6.7% 10.1% 12.7% 14.3% 22.2% 12.6%
Colin Kenny 2.2% 3.4% 3.4% 5.1% 4.8% 7.5% 9.8% 10.6% 13.3% 11.6% 15.0% 9.8% 3.5%
Charlotte Green 4.8% 5.3% 5.0% 6.9% 7.7% 8.0% 10.3% 12.7% 11.9% 12.6% 8.1% 5.3% 1.4%
Charlie Walton 13.7% 12.8% 13.6% 13.9% 12.9% 14.2% 8.2% 5.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Patrick Duffy 0.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 1.5% 2.6% 1.8% 4.4% 4.1% 7.2% 14.1% 60.3%
Brooklyn Geary 1.2% 2.6% 2.1% 3.6% 2.6% 4.7% 6.0% 8.2% 8.4% 14.0% 14.5% 20.3% 11.8%
Jack Tresh 2.4% 3.2% 4.0% 6.1% 7.4% 7.7% 10.6% 11.4% 11.8% 12.3% 11.7% 8.5% 2.9%
Colin Shearley 2.9% 5.2% 5.4% 4.7% 6.6% 9.3% 10.9% 12.2% 13.6% 12.2% 9.7% 5.4% 1.9%
Jingyi Chen 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 3.7% 4.4% 6.9% 8.9% 10.6% 10.5% 13.1% 16.6% 12.9% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.