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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.58+1.61vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+1.05vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.28+0.16vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.06+1.38vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.77-0.11vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College-0.38-1.81vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-1.87-0.42vs Predicted
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8Williams College-1.62-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Brown University0.580.3%1st Place
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3.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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3.16Connecticut College0.280.2%1st Place
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5.38University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
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4.89Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.19Connecticut College-0.380.1%1st Place
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6.58Sacred Heart University-1.870.0%1st Place
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6.14Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 30.3% | 24.8% | 19.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 22.0% | 20.9% | 20.7% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Caroline McClain | 20.1% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 20.6% | 14.3% |
| Emilia Perriera | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 7.9% |
| Joseph Whelan | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% |
| Neil Flynn | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 21.6% | 45.1% |
| Tess Halpern | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 26.8% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.