Race 5B

florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Zach O'connor 13.6% 17.8% 19.0% 16.1% 12.9% 9.2% 6.0% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Grayson Tella 44.1% 25.0% 16.2% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 7.5% 10.4% 11.6% 12.4% 13.2% 13.2% 12.1% 10.2% 5.5% 3.0% 0.8%
Oliver West 9.0% 11.7% 13.0% 13.9% 14.2% 13.5% 9.4% 8.3% 4.5% 1.8% 0.8%
Jackson McGeough 6.3% 8.7% 9.4% 11.2% 12.3% 13.4% 13.0% 10.8% 8.0% 5.7% 1.1%
Ella Lansford 7.3% 9.4% 11.6% 12.3% 11.6% 13.8% 12.6% 9.6% 6.9% 3.9% 1.1%
Harriss Thorne 2.3% 3.6% 4.5% 5.5% 6.4% 7.6% 9.4% 12.7% 17.7% 16.8% 13.5%
Tanner Cummings 4.1% 6.2% 6.7% 9.2% 11.2% 10.3% 13.9% 13.1% 12.1% 8.8% 4.5%
Ross Ellis 1.9% 2.9% 2.6% 2.9% 5.0% 6.3% 8.4% 12.0% 14.8% 19.4% 23.8%
Emma Launsby 1.8% 2.4% 2.8% 3.8% 5.0% 5.7% 7.1% 9.9% 14.6% 20.4% 26.5%
Nikolas Pantelis 2.1% 1.9% 2.6% 3.6% 4.3% 5.6% 7.8% 10.1% 14.5% 19.7% 27.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.