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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College-0.38+3.16vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University-0.77+2.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.06+1.39vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.62+1.21vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-1.87+0.50vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.28-3.80vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.58-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Connecticut College-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.88Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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3.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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5.39University of New Hampshire-1.060.1%1st Place
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6.21Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.5Sacred Heart University-1.870.0%1st Place
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3.2Connecticut College0.280.2%1st Place
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2.62Brown University0.580.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Whelan | 9.9% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
| Emilia Perriera | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 8.1% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 21.9% | 20.8% | 22.0% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 15.1% |
| Tess Halpern | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 24.9% | 30.4% |
| Neil Flynn | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 21.1% | 41.9% |
| Caroline McClain | 20.0% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 29.8% | 25.5% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.