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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.58+1.62vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.28+1.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.00vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College-0.38+0.24vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-1.87+1.59vs Predicted
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6Williams College-1.62+0.19vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.77-2.08vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.06-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Brown University0.580.3%1st Place
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3.16Connecticut College0.280.2%1st Place
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3.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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4.24Connecticut College-0.380.1%1st Place
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6.59Sacred Heart University-1.870.0%1st Place
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6.19Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
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4.92Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.27University of New Hampshire-1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 29.3% | 25.1% | 19.5% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caroline McClain | 19.5% | 21.1% | 18.7% | 19.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 22.8% | 20.1% | 21.6% | 16.3% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Whelan | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Neil Flynn | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 24.5% | 42.7% |
| Tess Halpern | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 23.7% | 31.9% |
| Emilia Perriera | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 8.6% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 21.2% | 19.4% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.