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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.28+2.07vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.58+0.68vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+0.04vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.77+0.89vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College-0.38-0.75vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-1.87+0.50vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.06-1.58vs Predicted
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8Williams College-1.62-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Connecticut College0.280.2%1st Place
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2.68Brown University0.580.3%1st Place
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3.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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4.89Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.25Connecticut College-0.380.1%1st Place
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6.5Sacred Heart University-1.870.0%1st Place
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5.42University of New Hampshire-1.060.1%1st Place
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6.15Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline McClain | 21.4% | 21.9% | 20.4% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 28.7% | 24.1% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 22.8% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Emilia Perriera | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 8.8% |
| Joseph Whelan | 9.9% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| Neil Flynn | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 20.8% | 42.0% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 20.7% | 16.0% |
| Tess Halpern | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 25.5% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.