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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.58+1.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+1.07vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.28+0.16vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College-0.38+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.06+0.37vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.77-1.19vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-1.87-0.41vs Predicted
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8Williams College-1.62-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Brown University0.580.3%1st Place
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3.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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3.16Connecticut College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.24Connecticut College-0.380.1%1st Place
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5.37University of New Hampshire-1.060.1%1st Place
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4.81Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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6.59Sacred Heart University-1.870.0%1st Place
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6.16Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 30.3% | 24.7% | 19.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 21.9% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Caroline McClain | 19.9% | 20.1% | 21.2% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Whelan | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 3.9% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 20.4% | 13.7% |
| Emilia Perriera | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 8.5% |
| Neil Flynn | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 21.8% | 44.9% |
| Tess Halpern | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 19.3% | 25.6% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.