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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+1.92vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.58+0.64vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College-0.38+1.11vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.28-0.91vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.77-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.06-0.86vs Predicted
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7Williams College-1.62-0.97vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-3.00-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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2.64Brown University0.580.3%1st Place
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4.11Connecticut College-0.380.1%1st Place
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3.09Connecticut College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.68Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.14University of New Hampshire-1.060.1%1st Place
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6.03Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
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7.4Sacred Heart University-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Fichtenholtz | 23.8% | 21.8% | 20.6% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 29.1% | 24.4% | 19.6% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Whelan | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 8.6% | 1.2% |
| Caroline McClain | 20.6% | 21.6% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Emilia Perriera | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 22.8% | 14.4% | 2.3% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 21.3% | 22.1% | 6.2% |
| Tess Halpern | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 19.6% | 34.8% | 17.3% |
| Callixtus O'Neill | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 14.7% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.