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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.58+1.56vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+1.00vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.28+0.08vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College-0.38+0.10vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.62+1.00vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.77-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.06-1.80vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-3.00-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Brown University0.580.3%1st Place
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3.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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3.08Connecticut College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.1Connecticut College-0.380.1%1st Place
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6.0Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
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4.64Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.2University of New Hampshire-1.060.1%1st Place
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7.42Sacred Heart University-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 30.5% | 25.5% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 22.0% | 22.3% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Caroline McClain | 20.9% | 20.2% | 21.8% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Whelan | 10.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 20.7% | 14.9% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Tess Halpern | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 19.8% | 37.0% | 14.9% |
| Emilia Perriera | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 3.5% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 25.0% | 23.1% | 5.7% |
| Callixtus O'Neill | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.