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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+1.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.58+0.63vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.28+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.06+1.19vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College-0.38-0.85vs Predicted
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6Williams College-1.62-0.06vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-3.00+0.40vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.77-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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2.63Brown University0.580.3%1st Place
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3.12Connecticut College0.280.2%1st Place
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5.19University of New Hampshire-1.060.1%1st Place
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4.15Connecticut College-0.380.1%1st Place
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5.94Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
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7.4Sacred Heart University-3.000.0%1st Place
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4.64Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Fichtenholtz | 22.8% | 24.5% | 19.8% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 29.3% | 24.3% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline McClain | 20.6% | 19.9% | 21.3% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 23.3% | 23.7% | 5.8% |
| Joseph Whelan | 9.9% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 9.3% | 1.6% |
| Tess Halpern | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 34.1% | 15.6% |
| Callixtus O'Neill | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 14.9% | 73.1% |
| Emilia Perriera | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.