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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+1.95vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.58+0.68vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.28+0.16vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.77+0.89vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College-0.38-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.06-0.67vs Predicted
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7Williams College-1.62-0.73vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-1.87-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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2.68Brown University0.580.3%1st Place
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3.16Connecticut College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.89Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.21Connecticut College-0.380.1%1st Place
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5.33University of New Hampshire-1.060.1%1st Place
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6.27Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.51Sacred Heart University-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Fichtenholtz | 23.2% | 23.6% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 28.9% | 23.8% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline McClain | 20.6% | 19.2% | 20.3% | 18.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Emilia Perriera | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 7.4% |
| Joseph Whelan | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 14.4% |
| Tess Halpern | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 24.9% | 33.7% |
| Neil Flynn | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 23.3% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.