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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.87+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.18+2.02vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College-0.86+2.40vs Predicted
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5Washington University-0.08-1.05vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.14-3.52vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.40-3.55vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-2.43-1.12vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-2.01-2.74vs Predicted
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11Hope College-2.94-2.21vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-2.26-4.31vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Hope College0.870.4%1st Place
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4.02University of Chicago-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.4Hillsdale College-0.860.1%1st Place
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3.95Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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3.48Purdue University0.140.2%1st Place
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4.45University of Michigan-0.400.1%1st Place
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7.88Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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7.26Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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8.79Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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7.69Grand Valley State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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10.7Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Nykamp | 35.5% | 25.3% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Leavitt | 12.4% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Marshall | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 12.7% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Childers | 18.1% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lila Torresen | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 25.7% | 20.7% | 2.5% |
| Jack Charlton | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Daub | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 41.1% | 9.2% |
| Reed Rossell | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 25.0% | 16.5% | 1.6% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 85.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.