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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.18+3.07vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.87+0.34vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College-0.86+2.41vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.40+0.53vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.14-1.53vs Predicted
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6Washington University-0.08-2.14vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.01-1.79vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-2.43-2.06vs Predicted
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11Hope College-2.94-2.20vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-2.26-4.34vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of Chicago-0.180.1%1st Place
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2.34Hope College0.870.4%1st Place
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5.41Hillsdale College-0.860.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Michigan-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.47Purdue University0.140.2%1st Place
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3.86Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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7.21Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.94Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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8.8Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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7.66Grand Valley State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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10.71Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Leavitt | 11.4% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Nykamp | 37.5% | 24.1% | 19.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Marshall | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lila Torresen | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Childers | 16.3% | 19.3% | 20.2% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 12.6% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Charlton | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 17.4% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 24.5% | 22.0% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Daub | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 40.1% | 9.5% |
| Reed Rossell | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 15.5% | 20.0% | 24.1% | 16.7% | 1.5% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 8.3% | 85.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.