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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.18+3.09vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.87+0.33vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.40+1.55vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.14-1.41vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.43+1.99vs Predicted
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7Washington University-0.08-3.15vs Predicted
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9Hillsdale College-0.86-3.85vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-2.01-2.74vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-2.26-3.20vs Predicted
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12Hope College-2.94-3.30vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of Chicago-0.180.1%1st Place
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2.33Hope College0.870.4%1st Place
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4.55University of Michigan-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.59Purdue University0.140.2%1st Place
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7.99Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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3.85Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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5.15Hillsdale College-0.860.1%1st Place
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7.26Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.8Grand Valley State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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8.7Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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10.68Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Leavitt | 10.4% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Nykamp | 37.0% | 25.3% | 18.0% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lila Torresen | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Childers | 15.4% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 19.6% | 24.4% | 22.7% | 3.2% |
| Wyatt Tait | 13.6% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Marshall | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Charlton | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 19.2% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 1.3% |
| Reed Rossell | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 13.5% | 22.3% | 23.4% | 17.1% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Daub | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 23.0% | 37.5% | 7.2% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.