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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.40+3.51vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.18+1.99vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.14+0.56vs Predicted
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4Washington University-0.08-0.04vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-2.43+2.99vs Predicted
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6Hope College0.87-3.61vs Predicted
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9Hillsdale College-0.86-3.85vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-2.26-2.31vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-2.01-3.63vs Predicted
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12Hope College-2.94-3.30vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51University of Michigan-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Chicago-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.56Purdue University0.140.2%1st Place
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3.96Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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7.99Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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2.39Hope College0.870.3%1st Place
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5.15Hillsdale College-0.860.1%1st Place
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7.69Grand Valley State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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7.37Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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8.7Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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10.69Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lila Torresen | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Leavitt | 12.4% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Childers | 16.8% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 12.8% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 20.3% | 24.8% | 22.3% | 3.5% |
| Lucas Nykamp | 35.0% | 28.4% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Marshall | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 19.3% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Reed Rossell | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 1.9% |
| Jack Charlton | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 17.2% | 23.7% | 20.1% | 11.3% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Daub | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 21.9% | 38.3% | 7.1% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 8.0% | 85.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.