Race 5A

emma-2025

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charlotte Marshall 5.3% 7.0% 8.8% 11.8% 14.2% 21.5% 16.2% 10.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Jack Charlton 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.6% 6.5% 9.7% 17.3% 21.4% 19.6% 13.7% 0.8%
Lucas Nykamp 32.9% 27.1% 18.5% 10.3% 6.9% 3.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Childers 16.3% 16.6% 18.3% 17.8% 14.7% 9.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
James Leavitt 13.4% 14.1% 14.8% 15.5% 16.6% 13.0% 8.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Lila Torresen 10.0% 11.4% 13.7% 15.9% 16.3% 13.8% 11.2% 5.2% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Wyatt Tait 16.0% 16.4% 16.9% 16.8% 14.3% 9.7% 7.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Daub 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 2.1% 2.2% 3.7% 8.8% 14.7% 19.8% 38.7% 7.1%
Thomas Weykamp 1.5% 1.4% 2.4% 3.1% 3.1% 6.6% 10.3% 19.1% 25.7% 22.5% 4.3%
Reed Rossell 1.4% 2.3% 2.7% 2.7% 5.2% 9.3% 13.5% 20.6% 23.4% 17.1% 1.8%
Adam Bryan 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.8% 1.8% 3.6% 6.7% 86.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.