Race 6A

emma-2025

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lucas Nykamp 34.6% 26.7% 17.6% 11.8% 5.7% 2.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wyatt Tait 13.2% 15.7% 17.3% 17.0% 15.6% 11.0% 6.0% 3.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
James Leavitt 11.4% 13.0% 16.2% 14.3% 18.3% 13.6% 8.4% 3.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Childers 15.7% 17.7% 17.1% 18.3% 14.7% 9.6% 5.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Lila Torresen 11.1% 11.2% 13.6% 15.0% 14.1% 16.8% 11.2% 5.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Weykamp 1.2% 1.9% 1.7% 3.0% 4.0% 5.6% 12.4% 18.5% 24.8% 23.2% 3.7%
Charlotte Marshall 7.5% 8.2% 9.4% 12.1% 13.4% 20.5% 14.2% 9.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Reed Rossell 1.8% 2.2% 2.0% 2.6% 5.6% 8.9% 13.9% 20.8% 24.2% 16.7% 1.3%
Matthew Daub 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 2.7% 7.2% 14.7% 19.5% 39.0% 9.3%
Jack Charlton 2.3% 2.2% 3.5% 3.9% 6.2% 8.2% 20.3% 20.8% 20.8% 10.7% 1.1%
Adam Bryan 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.4% 3.4% 8.7% 84.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.