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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Wyatt Tait 11.4% 16.4% 14.3% 18.4% 17.3% 12.0% 7.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Nykamp 36.5% 25.7% 17.8% 11.5% 4.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed Rossell 1.7% 2.0% 2.8% 3.3% 3.4% 7.1% 12.2% 21.7% 24.6% 19.6% 1.6%
Sam Childers 15.8% 16.8% 19.0% 17.0% 14.9% 9.3% 4.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
James Leavitt 12.8% 14.2% 15.0% 15.4% 15.9% 13.4% 8.8% 2.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Charlotte Marshall 5.8% 8.0% 10.1% 10.0% 15.3% 18.8% 16.3% 10.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Lila Torresen 11.2% 12.0% 14.1% 15.7% 15.8% 15.6% 9.1% 4.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew Daub 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 2.5% 4.4% 8.4% 14.5% 20.9% 37.6% 7.1%
Thomas Weykamp 1.4% 1.4% 2.6% 2.3% 4.1% 5.8% 11.7% 20.2% 23.9% 22.8% 3.8%
Jack Charlton 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 4.9% 5.9% 10.5% 19.2% 19.8% 19.3% 12.0% 1.1%
Adam Bryan 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 2.1% 3.3% 6.4% 86.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.