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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Washington University-0.08+1.93vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.87-0.66vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-2.26+2.81vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.14-2.42vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-0.18-2.93vs Predicted
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8Hillsdale College-0.86-2.72vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.40-4.70vs Predicted
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10Hope College-2.94-1.32vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-2.43-2.95vs Predicted
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12Western Michigan University-2.01-4.74vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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2.34Hope College0.870.4%1st Place
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7.81Grand Valley State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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3.58Purdue University0.140.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Chicago-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.28Hillsdale College-0.860.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Michigan-0.400.1%1st Place
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8.68Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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8.05Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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7.26Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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10.7Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Tait | 11.4% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Nykamp | 36.5% | 25.7% | 17.8% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Rossell | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 21.7% | 24.6% | 19.6% | 1.6% |
| Sam Childers | 15.8% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Leavitt | 12.8% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Marshall | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lila Torresen | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Daub | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 20.9% | 37.6% | 7.1% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 20.2% | 23.9% | 22.8% | 3.8% |
| Jack Charlton | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 19.2% | 19.8% | 19.3% | 12.0% | 1.1% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 86.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.